The preliminary emission scenariosin the special report on emission scenario(SRES) developed by the Intergovernemental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC),will eventually replace the old IS92 scenarios.By running these scenarios in a simple climate model (SCM)we estimate future temperature increase between 1.7°C and 2.8°C from 1990 to 2100.The global sea level rise over the same period is between0.33mand 0.45cm.

The preliminary emission scenariosin the special report on emission scenario(SRES) developed by the Intergovernemental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC),will eventually replace the old IS92 scenarios.By running these scenarios in a simple climate model (SCM)we estimate future temperature increase between 1.7°C and 2.8°C from 1990 to 2100.The global sea level rise over the same period is between0.33mand 0.45cm.